Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Remittances through January

Remittances, as measured by the inflow of noncommercial transfers to individuals through commercial banks, maintained a robust pattern of growth through December of 2008. This is truly impressive given all the shocks that the country experienced. January is a different story where transfers slowed down by some 25 percent year over year. Two questions: why did remittances continue to grow through December, and, two, what does January foretell about the future?

Inflow: USD millions transferred monthly through commercial banks
Source: CBA

A similar pattern is observed for outflows. These are usually smaller, but as with inflows, these transfers also declined in January.

Outflow: USD millions transferred monthlythrough commercial banks
Source: CBA

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